Monday, June 29, 2009

2010

My guess is, taxes, public ethics and maybe local aid will be the big issues in next year's gubernatorial campaign. None of them advantage the democrats though, so what else is new?
I expect Governor Patrick will be defending the sales tax increase from now until next November and beyond, he'd best sharpen up his rhetorical arsenal in that respect.
If I was the Governor I'd adopt a truculent Harry Truman pose, people forget that Truman made a lot of dubious appointments amidst the making of a lot of very good decisions.
Meanwhile from the GOP and others we will be hearing a lot about public ethics and the cuts to local aid...the bad news is, the bad news advantages our opponents. The good news is, given the circumstances there is little they could do differently. It is a subtle point but it may wear well as the campaign progresses.
Meanwhile what about State Treasurer Cahill, is he in or out...will he run as a democrat or an independent?
My question is...what would be his natural constituency in either case? Disaffected conservative democrats I would think, and maybe some independents.
However in the case of the state's conservative democrats they haven't been able to initiate independent action since the Imperial High Noon of Ed King. Anything they have accomplished since then has been in coalition with others. Moreover as a independent, Crazy Christy Mihos did what 6% of the vote last time, and despite his jumpiness he had serious cashola to spend on a campaign...will Cahill have similar resources to draw on?
Doubtful.
As a dissenting democrat, Cahill won't do much business on primary day due to Patrick's still formidable organization...and he hasn't the resources to force the issue as an independent candidate for Governor.
But it sure sounds like he wants in, which means there is good bloggable chaos on the horizon.

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