Monday, July 17, 2006

I may be all stupid-like but

I thought invading Iraq was supposed to put Syria and Iran on notice that their sponsorship of terrorist outfits like Hezbollah wouldn't be tolerated?

Humble Elias can recall with the simplest nostalgia the golden days of 2003 when the smug likes of Doug Feith were gaseously asserting that deposing Saddam would lead to a whole new democratic ball game in the Middle East.

Of course, IF Humble Elias was still in the whole "security studies" field (and he is long out it to be sure) he'd be wondering if the Israelis were about to modify those bunker busting BLU-109 munitions they bought from us for delivery via their Jericho II-B MRBM system? Jerusalem does have a modified version of the Jericho missile system capable of boosting a satellite into orbit...so maybe they've got something that can handle the alleged 2000 lb payload after that it is a question of an accurate guidance system.
Because the whole thing is about missiles, Teheran's client Hezbollah has short range rockets it has launched into Northern Israel so what better way to indulge proportional retaliation than to launch a missile strike at Iran's nuclear sites?
Allegedly, to attack those sites via bombers, the IDF would have to overfly US held Iraq and there is no guarantee yet what Washington's response would be to that eventuality.
So Humble Elias is guessing it could be a missile cannonade directed at Iran.
Of course, such an attack would probably not knocke out Iran's nuclear weapons research & development, but it might set their schedule back nad bid to send Teheran "a message".

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