Wednesday, April 25, 2018

French President Macron

Has come out for renegotiating the Iran Nuclear Deal.  On the face of it, that is bad news since it validates Trump's phantom "Iran is ripping us off" meme which is creating needless instability in the Persian Gulf.
However, I think of it as "Macron is making the best of a bad situation", I think he is hoping for long difficult frustrating deadlocked talks to put the issue into stasis until and IF there are different constitutional officers in the USA.
I would also point out that the French President is working virtually alone in Europe, Angela Merkel & Theresa May are virtually governing with no electoral mandates whatsoever, Macron and Justin Trudeau in Canada are the only two leaders with a claim to the support of a majority of their respective citzenry.
But mark my words "Iran is all about North Korea", the relative health of the Nuclear Deal with Tehran will dictate whether or not any worthwhile nonproliferation agreement can be achieved with Pyongyang. Trust me on this, Komrade Kim will diplomatically link the two with Anchor Chains and reap the political windfall when and if Trump bungles that summit (assuming it ever really goes off). He'll turn to the world and its enervating sanctions and say "I tried to negotiation, but how can I trust a super-power that is dealing so callously and hypocritically with Tehran?"
That may well be the trap Trump is walking into, Friend Macron is at least trying to preserve some diplomatic room to manuever for the USA and the alliance we lead...health to his efforts.

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