Thursday, December 29, 2005

More On Mihos

Why does Christy Mihos want to run for Governor as an Independent?

Assuming this isn't a tactic to intimidate Kerry Healey into giving him access to the GOP Primary Ballot unmolested, then Mihos may have come to the realization that the value of the GOP Gubernatorial nomination has fallen into an abyss over the last 16 years of uninterrupted republican domination of the Governor's office.
Consider, the GOP's field organization in the Commonwealth has reached an advanced state of decrepitude, as a consequence the party does not win state wide on its ability to muscle & hustle precincts. No the game plan has always to run as a outsider-bulwark against the state legislature. This plan depends on three things, money, image and willingness to run statewide on a hard sell time urgent advertising campaign.
These days the Massachusetts GOP is more and more a flag of convenience and fund-raising PO Box. It is inevitable that someone with enough money could appropriate their game plan and run with it as an independent. Frankly the GOP's local organization is in such decay, I'm surpised it hasn't happened sooner than this.

Can Mihos Win?

Maybe, historically third party candidacies are dicey propositions, that having been said in the past twenty years Independents have been elected Governor in Maine and Connecticut. Moreover, Reform Party Nominee Jesse Ventura carried the day in Minnesota with something like 33% of the vote in 1998...thats an interesting statistic in Massachusetts where independent voters themselves are over a third of the potential electorate.
Don't forget, Mihos will undoubtably run as a socially moderate fiscal conservative type yap, the local punditariat i.e Scot Lehigh and Brian McGrory will mark out hard for him as they are particularly vulnerable to this kind of mallarky.

Sounds GREAT! Where do I sign up!?

Right now Christy Mihos is only threatening an independent candidacy, Romney may yet talk him out of a move that'll cause the State GOP nothing but trouble next year.
I however would like to humbly suggest that Christy Mihos run on the "Misogyny Ticket". After all he made his bones shoving aside Acting Governor Jane "Jingle Money" Swift and then jacking up Shannon O'Brien in the General Election, now he wants to mug Kerry Healey...anyone else see a pattern emerging here?

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