Thursday, May 10, 2018

Well at least North Korea released the U.S. hostages

So that is something in advance of the much anticipated Trump-Kim Summit, kudos to everyone in the US Government who kept their eyes on that ball.
That having been said, North Korea is an expert taker of hostages for solemn reasons of state as well as purely frivolous motivations.  They can replenish their stock easily they likely have an entire bureau within their government dedicated to this very activity.  Releasing the three hostages sends a nice cheery message of fake accomodation without tipping their hand as to what "denuclearization" of the Korean Peninsula really means.
So IF that is the card we still can't see, then we should anticipate hard terms come the summit, frankly without some private or public declaration of whats on offer at what cost  then a summit isn't justifed, terms need to haggled out among diplomats, assuming terms can even be reached.
I still maintain NK is putting a puppet show at this summit. They'll demand all sorts of unacceptable terms that will be incompatible with solemn treaty obligations to Seoul and Tokyo (among) and watch gleefully as Trump stomps away befuddled and seething.
There is a certain sentiment out there, that posits that North Korea is going to somehow surrender at this Summit, nothing of the sort is gonna occur, Surrender is worth Komrade Kim's Sinecure, if not his very life, he'll bargain, stonewall and drive Trump to flee back to Air Force One, he has no other choice.
That having been said, I hope I am wrong...but for that to be the case, sanity would need to become a welcome global pathogen and those are doubtful prospects indeed.
 

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