Thursday, June 01, 2006

Playing the Percentages...

Dan Payne in a gonzo style column in today's Globe plays with the notion that Patrick may well garner the convention endorsement this weekend and knock one or perhaps both of his rivals out of the race.
"Talking Politics" in the Boston Phoenix conjured with the same idea in last week's issue.
Seems a bit far fetched to Humble Elias, to finish off Reilly and Gabrieli Deval Patrick would have to have slightly over 80% of the delegates willing to vote for him down the line and even then the remaining 20% has to break evenly to bury the opposition.
On the other hand, Reilly has bungled things in tight spots before and he has to finesse this thing just right the first time.
As for Chris Gabrieli, Humble Elias wonders if he got in just too damn late no matter how much he spends on advertising?

The Chimes at Midnight suspects Patrick will get the endorsement, Reilly will hang tough to get on the September ballot and Gabrieli will finish out of the money unless someone somewhere is dickering hard on his behalf.

Well whatever, a lot of airy speculation is about to come down to some cold hard numbers.

Meanwhile anyone have a good line on the Belmont Stakes this weekend?

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